
How Israel lost sight of its enemies
How did Israel miss a surprise Arab attack on the fiftieth anniversary of the Yom Kippur War? Because knowing what the enemy is planning is very difficult, and especially so in this case, where the last fifty years have seen a constant refining of capabilities and techniques on each side. Palestinians know that they have to be surprising if they are to catch Israel off guard. Israel had developed an extraordinary set of sensors and defences to make sure that didn’t happen, to the point where they seemed impenetrable. But defences mask vulnerabilities, and may reduce the efficacy of other warning systems. Sounding an alarm about the enemy’s intent to act will always require a bold judgement about the unknown; it depends on a deep understanding and feel, which are almost impossible to gather from afar.
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Πηγή: engelsbergideas.com