The rocky start to big pledge era

Ambitious long-term emissions targets are now pretty commonplace for big emitting nations, but two things caught my eye that highlight the deep disconnect between the goals and getting on a path to achieve them.

Driving the news: A new BloombergNEF analysis looks at climate policies in G20 economies that would actually spur implementation of measures consistent with the goals of the Paris Agreement.

What they found: A mixed bag to say the least.

• “Germany, France, South Korea, the U.K. and Japan are in the top quartile because they have implemented a higher number of robust, concrete measures to achieve ambitious-but-achievable targets.”
• But even those nations only have an average score of 67% in BloombergNEF’s scorecard, and it gets worse from there. The average G20 score was 47%.

Driving the news, part 2: International Energy Agency head Fatih Birol has a wide-ranging interview on the latest episode of the “Cleaning Up” podcast hosted by energy analyst Michael Liebreich (who founded BloombergNEF but has moved on to other ventures).

I won’t try and capture the whole thing, but here’s one point Birol makes…

• “When I look around, I see a big, big, big gap between the pledges and the energy policies that are put in place and the incentives for those.”
• “When I look at … these sustainable recovery packages around the world up to now, I cannot say that I am happy with the amount of incentives [for] renewables, electric cars and the others received from the governments,” he adds, but expresses hope that 2021 will be a “game-changer.”

The big picture: “The high-level pledges over the last year, in particular, have been impressive with major economies such as the European Union, Japan, South Korea and China all promising to get to ‘net-zero’ emissions or carbon neutrality at some future date,” Victoria Cuming, a senior BNEF analyst, said in a statement.

• But Cuming notes that countries are generally not on track to meet their shorter term pledges under the Paris deal.
• “The reality is that countries simply haven’t done enough at home with follow-through policies to meet even the promises made more than five years ago.”

Where it stands: The report has some helpful data on all these net-zero pledges that are proliferating (in addition to showing why pledges and policy are nowhere near synonymous).

• “A total of 58 countries and states have announced net-zero emission targets. Of these, most have been stated as official government pledges, but 18 have been formally passed into law.”

 
– Industry heavyweights launch new hydrogen coalition

A group of very large companies today announced a new coalition aimed at advancing U.S. support for hydrogen energy applications.

Why it matters: A couple reasons — the initial players are big and this comes amid growing interest in deploying hydrogen for heavy transport, stationary storage, industrial fuels, power, and more.

• The 11 initial players in the new Hydrogen Forwardgroup include Shell, Toyota, French industrial gases company Air Liquide, and British mining heavyweight Anglo American.
• Biden’s campaign platformcalled for new efforts to deploy hydrogen that’s produced with renewable power.

Yes, but: The new coalition — operated through the PR and government affairs firm FTI Consulting — argues the U.S. is falling behind.

• “While Europe and East Asia have committed to investing hundreds of billions of dollars into hydrogen solutions, the U.S. is the only major market without a national hydrogen strategy,” their announcement states.

What we don’t know: At this point, anything about policy specifics they may promote or support.

• FTI’s Jeff Bechdel answered my inquiry in broad terms, saying a national strategy should have goals like “accelerate the energy transition” and “enable rapid, large-scale adoption of hydrogen solutions.”

The big picture: The role of hydrogen in climate policy is linked to how it’s produced (Greentech Media has a nice explainer here), which right now is mostly using natural gas.

• But pathways to deep decarbonization envision greener forms of production. I asked Bechdel where the new group stands on for which feedstocks should be used.
• “Hydrogen Forward is supportive of and promotes hydrogen production in all forms that contribute to decarbonization,” he said.

Go deeper: In pandemic’s wake, global support builds for hydrogen

Πηγή: axios.com