Horizon scan: Understanding the next decade
As part of my work for the World Economic Forum Summit in Davos this week, I am sharing with world leaders what I deem to be the most important issues to understand – and address in the next decade. You can find my full horizon scan on the WEF’s Strategic Intelligence platform, and understand how it fits into the Forum’s work in this agenda blog.
TL;DR
The coming year will demand an adroit private sector and a deft public one, and strong stomachs all around. Breakthrough technologies, like artificial intelligence, renewable electrification and deep tech will provide opportunities for research and development, innovation, and deployment-at-scale, as well as large-scale benefits to productivity, lower prices and decarbonisation. All of these areas face significant risks, many of which intersect with the geopolitical friction and macroeconomic volatility that forms the backdrops. Nations will find the definitions of ally, partner, competitor and rival becoming muddled, as they search for strategic autonomy and competitive advantage, especially in technology-rich sectors. Governments will become more active in steering their economies and fostering new alliances. This could allow them to re-engage with their citizens but all this will require choreographing new capabilities, greater receptiveness and additional investment. The gloom of tighter capital supply, a lower tolerance for risk and pallid or negative economic news will be the sombre baseline accompanying this performance.
Συνέχεια εδώ
Plus
Zombie capitalists; China’s AI catchup; hallucinating drugs; India’s lithium++ #410
- How the relationship between governments and VCs is shifting,
- ChatGPT could be China’s “second Sputnik moment”,
- The high-tech arms race in the Ukraine war.
Συνέχεια εδώ
