Everything you need to know about what Joe Biden’s election win means for US allies

There are rumors of a NATO summit early in a Biden administration that will signal the preeminence of the transatlantic relationship and rapidly change the tone of the Trump years. Expect a quick effort to put the US-EU relationship on better footing as well.

 
JUST IN: Joe Biden has amassed enough votes to become President-elect of the United States, according to the Associated Press, on a platform that included restoring America’s fraying relationships around the world. Here’s what the countries on the other end of those relationships can expect next.

 
EARLY FOCUS ON A CHANGED EUROPE

• Chris anticipates fast-acting relief across the Atlantic: “There are rumors of a NATO summit early in a Biden administration that will signal the preeminence of the transatlantic relationshipand rapidly change the tone of the Trump years. Expect a quick effort to put the US-EU relationship on better footing as well.”
  
• But a victorious Biden will find a Europe changed, and an “old normal” that can’t really be restored: “Europe’s estimation of American leadership has become more cynical, especially after an election that seemed to validate Trump’s perspective as much as it did Biden’s. Parts of the European political and policy establishment want a permanently more independent posture from US policy and can use the closely contested election as ammunition for that purpose. While Biden’s team will undoubtedly demonstrate a sustained commitment to working with Europe on most major issues, repairing the mistrust of US intentions that Trump has cultivated in European capitals will likely take positive relations with successive administrations.”
• For those concerned about how Biden will prioritize NATO versus security arrangements in other regions such as the Indo-Pacific, Chris advises: “An early indicator might be whether Biden will move to reverse Trump’s decision to withdraw US troops from Germany. Doing so will be a down payment on ensuring adequate resources are available to deter Russia. A decision otherwise would indicate a gap between rhetoric and resources and that will augur further, if more polite, transatlantic tensions.”

 
ASIA LOOKING FOR ANSWERS

• Miyeonarticulates the questions ricocheting across allied Asian capitals right now: How is an incoming Biden administration “going to identify areas of conflicting versus common interest with China?”
• Here’s why that’s top of mind, she adds: “Given Asia-Pacific allies’ heavy economic reliance on China, as well as China’s more aggressive behavior and narratives since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, US policy toward China will have significant implications for how these allies re-evaluate and adjust their own China policies and strategies.”

 
AN OPPORTUNITY FOR RESET IN THE MIDDLE EAST

• Willwonders whether a Biden administration will reverse a trend decades in the making. While a number of Middle Eastern powers have “sharply diverged from their traditionally apolitical approach to Washington, preferring instead to increasingly align themselves with the Republican party,” a “new Biden administration provides an opportunity for leaders in the region, particularly the current leaders in Saudi Arabia and Israel, to appreciate the negative consequences of their politicized approach to Washington and to seek to ‘reset’ relations along lines of longstanding common interests, including dealing with threats from Iran.”
• Biden will likely be game for such a reset, Willnotes, but will that be true for his counterparts? We’ll have to see “whether leaders like Bibi Netanyahu and Mohamed bin Salman, who chose not to hide their support for President Trump’s reelection, will have the wisdom to meet him there.”

 
WHAT’S NEXT FOR BIDEN’S REPUBLICAN OPPOSITION 

• Emma’s here to remind us that with all the focus on what a Biden presidency will mean for America’s role in the world, we shouldn’t forget that Donald Trump, and Trumpism, isn’t going away any time soon—a reality that the close presidential race has made clear: “While the Biden administration may prove a brief respite from these trends, the strength of the Republican showing in the 2020 election suggests they are likely to continue in future Republican administrations.”
  
• While both the Republican and Democratic parties “increasingly embrace the frame of great-power competition,” she observes, Republicans will continue to focus more on the economic contest between the United States and China and on potential “decoupling” with Beijing. “A post-Trump Republican party is likely to continue to be apathetic about the value of international institutions, and skeptical of the utility of multilateral agreements on topics like climate change and arms control,” Emma 

 
Joe Biden just won the presidency: What does that mean for America’s role in the world?

We finally have a winner. After several days of counting votes, former Vice President Joe Biden has defeated President Donald J. Trump in the US presidential election, after the Associated Press called Pennsylvania for the former vice president on November 7.

While Biden may have to contend with a divided Congress to achieve his many domestic priorities, he will have much more power to shape US foreign policy going forward. “Under a Biden presidency, the United States will shift from a ‘with or without us’ approach to a policy that fundamentally believes the United States can achieve more when we work together with partner nations,” Jason Marczak, director of the Atlantic Council’s Adrienne Arsht Latin America Center, said.

But while President Trump was defeated, his stronger-than-expected showing should give pause to those who expected the United States to fully abandon his foreign-policy doctrine. As Emma Ashford, a resident senior fellow in the New American Engagement Initiative at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, argues, the “post-Trump Republican party is likely to continue to be apathetic about the value of international institutions, and skeptical of the utility of multilateral agreements on topics like climate change and arms control.”

What are the most significant changes we should expect from the new Biden administration? Experts from across the Atlantic Council weigh in on what the outcome of the 2020 election will mean for US foreign policy and America’s role in the world:

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Πηγή: atlanticcouncil.org