Maybe AI Isn’t Coming for Everyone’s Job After All

New studies suggest that, like most technology, AI makes people more productive, more valuable employees.

 
GOOD LUCK TRACKING THE ZIG-ZAGS OF academic research on artificial intelligence and the future of work. A University of Pennsylvania/OpenAI study earlier this year found that 80 percent of jobs could see some of their tasks automated through generative AI and around 20 percent could have half or more of their workload fully automated. The same study rang other alarm bells by pointing out how white-collar professionals, rather than lower-skilled workers, were most at risk of AI-driven automation.

Several weeks ago, a new study published by the National Bureau of Economic Research of the actual impacts of AI on European workers zagged the other direction. Looking at data from 2011 to 2019, researchers from the University of Pittsburg, Oxford, and several European central banks found that greater exposure to AI increased employment shares, defined as the percentage of total employment that a particular group accounts for in the overall workforce, and had no significant effect on wages.

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