Nobody knows how many jobs will “be automated”

One thing I’ve learned in my years of writing about the economics of AI is that it’s pretty much impossible to get people to think about this issue in terms of anything except job loss. The “folk model” of automation is that it throws humans out of work — today you had a job performing some sort of valuable work, and tomorrow you’re on the welfare rolls. This is not how things have worked out in the past — we’ve been deploying automation technology for centuries, and as of 2023, pretty much every human who wants a job has a job. But there’s basically no way to get people to believe that this next wave of automation will be the one that finally sends humans into obsolescence.

 
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Πηγή: noahpinion.substack.com