The Law of Opportunity

The fishing is best where the fewest go.

In his research on evolution, Charles Darwin found that competition is fiercest where most people are trying for the same thing.

Under the same logic, the best opportunities today don’t look like the best opportunities.

They’re not obvious. They don’t look attractive. If they did, people would have already flocked to them and they would no longer be the best opportunities. Everyone would already be doing it.

The Law of Opportunity states that the future success of an opportunity is inversely related to its level of popularity.

 
–The End of History Illusion

If I asked you how much you’ve changed in the last 10 years, you’d be pretty good at giving a detailed description.

But, if I asked you to predict how much you’re going to change in the next 10 years, you’d probably have a much tougher time.

Although we’ve experienced significant personal growth up to the present moment, we believe we won’t substantially grow or mature in the future. We are unable to predict change in ourselves.

We think the person we are today is roughly the same as the person that we’re going to be 10 years from now.

Psychologists named this effect the “End of History Illusion”.

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Πηγή: thomasdixon.substack.com