Which jobs are most at risk because of COVID-19?

Effective policies to minimize job losses in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic require knowing which jobs are at most risk. While almost all European economies are under a lockdown, not everyone will suffer to the same extent. Those who can work from home, whose jobs do not require face-to-face interaction with others, or are in essential industries can more easily continue to earn a living. In contrast, those whose jobs are nonessential or cannot be performed from home are facing the largest income losses.

Based on these criteria, we identify the jobs most at risk in the European Union. We combine indicators on the occupations that can be done from home (as proposed by Dingel and Neiman, 2020) or those that require extensive face-to-face interactions with clients or co-workers (as suggested by Avdiu and Nayyar, 2020), with a new indicator of what industries are considered essential by governments and hence not susceptible to mandated lockdowns. Jobs at most risk are those exposed to both threats—they are in nonessential industries and cannot be performed from home or require face-to-face interaction.

 
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Πηγή: brookings.edu

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